WHILE DEMAND FOR RNs CLIMBS, UNDERGRADUATE
NURSING ENROLLMENTS DECLINE
Continued declines in bachelor's-degree
enrollments at the nation's nursing schools have heightened
concern over the health system's ability to meet rising demand
for registered nurses across a variety of settings.
The following backgrounder explains what the latest enrollment
numbers mean, how today's developments differ markedly from
the nursing shortage of a decade ago, and provides other timely
background on the changing nursing workforce.
MAJOR POINTS:
- Declining undergraduate enrollments
don't necessarily mean declining interest in nursing careers.
Although several nursing schools report a fall off in undergraduate
applications, other schools have intentionally cut baccalaureate
admissions because of faculty shortages or other resource
constraints. Still other nursing schools report many vacant
seats going unfilled.
- Despite a slight drop in total master's-degree
nursing enrollments in fall 1998, the number of master's nursing
students has climbed steadily over the last decade. The
ranks of master's students have grown in response to rising
demand for nurse practitioners, clinical specialists, and
other RNs with advanced practice skills.
- Unlike the major nursing shortage of the
mid-1980s, today not just any nurse will do. Meeting today's
rising need for RNs requires not simply more RNs, but more
RNs of the right types and educational mix.
- To meet workforce needs, employers are
seeking nurses who are baccalaureate- and graduate-prepared
as well as those to fill key specialties. Demand is particularly
acute for experienced RNs.
1) Declining enrollments don't
necessarily mean declining interest in nursing careers.
As health care facilities in many
markets strive to meet an accelerating demand for registered nurses,
enrollment of entry-level bachelor's-degree students at U.S. nursing
schools fell by 5.5 percent in fall 1998, the fourth consecutive
decline in as many years.(1)
While application levels remain strong
at many schools, nurse educators continue to be concerned over
headlines as recently as two years ago of hospital downsizings
and of RN layoffs in markets affected by managed-care cost pressures.
Those news accounts ran before the recent upturn in RN hiring.
However, such media play apparently contributed to lasting, but
now outdated, perceptions among many potential students who may
have based their decisions not to apply on information that didn't
reflect today's expanding nursing job market.
Moreover, several schools have intentionally
cut baccalaureate admissions in recent years to cope with faculty
shortages, budget constraints, limited classroom space, or other
resource shortfalls. In some cases, schools redirected their limited
resources to concentrate on meeting market demand for nurse practitioners,
clinical nurse specialists, or other advanced practice nurses
prepared in master's-degree programs.
Many schools also report having to
reduce enrollments because of a tightening supply of clinical
training sites. The availability of such sites has been dampened
in recent years, as hospitals with fewer inpatients find they
can accommodate fewer students, and as community-based facilities
such as HMOs and primary care clinics -- used in nursing education
traditionally -- also are being approached by medical schools
and physician assistant programs seeking sites for primary care
training.
To alleviate such pressures, AACN
and other nursing and health care groups have urged lawmakers
to redirect Medicare monies -- now used to fund hospital diploma
nursing education programs -- into graduate-level nurse training
programs that would also prepare future faculty. Such a move would
also provide funding to reimburse clinical facilities as an incentive
for accepting more students on-site. The Institute of Medicine,
an arm of the National Academy of Sciences, supported the redirection
in a 1997 report to Congress.(2)
2) Graduate enrollments continue
to rise to meet demand for advanced nurse clinicians.
Total master's-degree enrollments
in nursing fell by 2.1 percent in fall 1998.(3) Still,
the modest decline was only the third time in the past 12 years
for such a decrease at nursing schools, where master's enrollments
have risen steadily in response to growing demand for nurse practitioners,
clinical nurse specialists, and other RNs with advanced clinical
skills.
Despite such growth, more than two-thirds
of master's-degree nursing students are concentrated in part-time
study, greatly delaying their entry into the RN workforce.
3) What's occurring does not appear
to be a repeat of the pervasive nursing shortage of the mid-1980s
to early 1990s, when employers hired qualified entry-level
RNs virtually regardless of their nursing degree preparation.
With today's more complex patient care, and with associate degree-
and hospital diploma-prepared nurses already in oversupply, ensuring
a sufficient RN workforce isn't merely a matter of how many nurses
are needed, but what types, and providing them in the right educational
mix.
Today's demand is different
because:
- Today's demand is for nurses prepared
at the bachelor's and graduate-degree levels who can deliver
the higher complexity of care required across a variety of
acute-care, primary-care, and community health settings, and
to provide other needed services such as case management,
health promotion, and disease prevention.
- Today's demand also is for nurses in key
specialties, such as critical care; neonatal nursing;
emergency, operating room, and labor and delivery units; and
for advanced practice RNs such as nurse practitioners and
clinical specialists.
- Though hiring of RNs is accelerating in
more cities, today's demand varies region by region, market
by market, contrary to the wide-reaching nationwide shortfall
of RNs nearly a decade ago.
4) A host of factors are driving
demand for more highly skilled RNs.
Despite a wave of managed care changes
such as mergers, consolidations, and briefer lengths of stay that
saw hospitals trim their ranks of inpatient RNs by 6 percent between
1992-1996, the number of employed RNs nationwide grew by its highest
annual rate ever -- an average of more than 3 percent a year,
to 2.1 million -- in the same period, according to the latest
figures from the Division of Nursing of the U.S. Department of
Health and Human Services. 4
Indeed, even as many hospitals cut
their inpatient RN staffs, nursing employment boomed in other
hospital areas between 1992 and 1996 -- up 25 percent in outpatient
and labor and delivery units, up more than 15 percent in emergency
rooms, and rising nearly 10 percent in surgical facilities, federal
figures show.(5) In the same period, the number of RNs
in community health centers rose 42 percent -- nearly triple the
growth in the previous four years -- and climbed by 32 percent
in long-term care facilities.(6)
Today's intensified hiring of RNs
is also being spurred by:
- the mounting health care needs of increasing
numbers of elderly;
- a growing population of hospitalized patients
who are older, more acutely ill, and in need of more skilled
RNs per patient;
- the rapid expansion of front-line primary
care to many sites throughout the community;
- technological advances requiring more highly
skilled nursing care; and
- an aging RN workforce. The average age of
RNs in 1996 was 44, up from 40 in 1980. Moreover, only 9 percent
of RNs were under age 30 in 1996, with high levels of retirements
projected in the next 10 to 15 years.(7)
Federal figures project that if current
trends continue, rising demand will outstrip the supply of RNs
beginning approximately 2010. By 2015, says the federal Division
of Nursing, 114,000 jobs for full-time equivalent RNs are expected
to go unfilled nationwide.(8) But already, in an expanding
number of markets, hospitals and other employers are struggling
to meet a rising need for RN care and have stepped up recruitment.
5) At the entry-level, the BSN
nurse is preferred.
The disproportionate supply of nurses
with associate degrees and hospital diplomas has led many policymakers
to call for the closure of significant numbers of these programs
in favor of accelerated production of baccalaureate- and graduate-prepared
nurses.
The National Advisory Council on Nurse
Education and Practice, an advisory panel to the federal Division
of Nursing, has recommended as a policy target that at least two-thirds
of the basic nurse workforce hold baccalaureate or higher degrees
in nursing by 2010.(9) Although 31 percent of RNs in the
U.S. in 1996 held bachelor's degrees as their highest educational
credential, 32 percent had two-year associate degrees, 27 percent
held hospital diplomas, 9 percent had master's-degrees, and fewer
than 1 percent had obtained the doctoral degree.(10)
A 1995 report by the Pew Health Professions
Commission urged the closing of up to 20 percent of associate-degree
and hospital diploma programs and more concentrated production
of nurses from bachelor's- and graduate-degree programs.(11)
Policy leaders explain that the health
system's complexity requires nurses who are capable of more independent
clinical decisionmaking in less-structured environments, are prepared
broadly in basic as well as behavioral and social sciences and
management, can communicate effectively, and are oriented more
towards health promotion, maintenance, and cost-effective coordinated
care. The Bachelor of Science in nursing (BSN) curriculum provides
such preparation, including training in community-based primary
care not typically a part of associate-degree or diploma programs,
and gives nurses a foundation to enter graduate training for advanced
practice and management roles.
At increasing numbers of hospitals
nationwide, baccalaureate-prepared nurses are practicing in ways
that recognize their different educational preparation and competencies
from other entry-level RNs. In these "differentiated practice"
models, BSN nurses not only provide more complex types of patient
care, but also design and coordinate a comprehensive plan of nursing
care for the entire length of a patient's stay -- from pre-admission
to post-discharge, supervise nurses aides and other unlicensed
assistive personnel, design teaching plans for patients, and collaborate
with physicians, family members, and other hospital departments
and resource staff. Associate-degree nurses function primarily
at the bedside in less complex situations, and provide additional
care such as teaching patients how to maintain their care after
discharge.(12) # # #
The American Association of Colleges of Nursing is the national
voice for university and four-year-college education programs
in nursing -- the nation's largest health care profession. Representing
more than 500 member schools of nursing at public and private
institutions nationwide, AACN's educational, research, governmental
advocacy, data collection, publications, and other programs work
to establish quality standards for bachelor's- and graduate-degree
nursing education, assist deans and directors to implement those
standards, influence the nursing profession to improve health
care, and promote public support of baccalaureate and graduate
nursing education, research, and practice.
REFERENCES
- American Association of Colleges of Nursing.
(1999). 1998-1999 Enrollment and Graduations in Baccalaureate
and Graduate Programs in Nursing, p. 12. Washington, DC:
Author.
- Institute of Medicine. (1997). On Implementing
a National Graduate Medical Education Trust Fund, pp.
31-32. Washington, DC: National Academy Press.
- American Association of Colleges of
Nursing. (1999). 1998-1999 Enrollment and Graduations in
Baccalaureate and Graduate Programs in Nursing, p. 12.
Washington, DC: Author.
- Division of Nursing. (March 1996). The
Registered Nurse Population: Findings from the National Sample
Survey of Registered Nurses [RN SAMPLE SURVEY], p. 20,
5. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services,
Bureau of Health Professions.
- Division of Nursing, RN SAMPLE SURVEY,
pp. 20-21, see note 3.
- Division
of Nursing, RN SAMPLE SURVEY, p. 10, see note 3.
- Division of Nursing, RN SAMPLE SURVEY,
p. 8, 33, see note 3.
- National
Advisory Council on Nurse Education and Practice. (October
1996). Report to the Secretary of the Department of Health
and Human Services on the Basic Registered Nurse Workforce
[REPORT TO THE SECRETARY], pp. 48, 53. Washington, DC: U.S.
Department of Health and Human Services, Division of Nursing.
- National Advisory Council on Nurse Education
and Practice, REPORT TO THE SECRETARY, p. 9, see note 7.
- Division
of Nursing, RN SAMPLE SURVEY, p. 16, see note 3.
- Pew
Health Professions Commission. (November 1995). Critical
Challenges: Revitalizing the Health Professions for the Twenty-First
Century, p. 51. San Francisco: University of California
- San Francisco, Center for the Health Professions.
- American
Association of Colleges of Nursing. (1995). A Model for
Differentiated Nursing Practice, pp. 26-29. Washington,
DC: Author.